It’s a Sunshine State showdown for the Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to wrap up their preseason schedules on Friday night.
Miami has won two straight to start exhibition play, while Tampa has gone 1-1 and will give No. 1 quarterback Baker Mayfield another tune-up ahead of the regular season.
The Mayfield news has moved the Bucs’ line and the total significantly, and I’ll attack the latter with my free Dolphins vs. Buccaneers predictions and NFL picks for Friday’s preseason finale.
Dolphins vs Buccaneers prediction
My best betUnder 38 (-110 at Caesars)
My analysis
There has been a major move to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ side in this game, and I’m aligning it with the announcement that No. 1 quarterback Baker Mayfield will start. The total has also climbed across the board, so there has been a lot of action. Pinnacle opened with the Miami Dolphins a -1.5 point favorite and a 34.5 total, and the Bucs are now trading at -3 chalk while the total is up to 38 at the shop.
Those are major adjustments, and in both cases, the movement has been through key numbers. So, the immediate question is whether a series or two of Mayfield behind center is worth that much to the spread and total, or if there is another angle driving the movement?
With the Under going 26-7 to start the preseason, the climb in the total in this game doesn’t align with the two-week trend. I also associate a lot of the move to the Tampa side with the underwhelming quarterback play from Miami backups Skylar Thompson and Mike White, because I don’t expect Dolphins No. 1 Tua Tagovailoa to see the field.
Thompson has a 47.1 completion percentage for just 4.59 yards per attempt and a 50.4 PFF grade, and White has been even worse with respective 44.1%, 4.18, and 46.1 marks. On the flip side, Kyle Trask and John Wolford haven’t been overly sharp for the Bucs, either. The duo have combined for a 60.6% completion rate and 6.13 yards per attempt, and I anticipate them splitting the bulk of the action following an early exit from Mayfield.
Additionally, I don’t expect many skill-position players to suit up, either. Miami wideouts Tyreek Hill (hand) and Jaylen Waddle (undisclosed) are both nursing injuries, and Tampa receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin didn’t play in either of the first two preseason games.
As a result, I don’t think either team will show off on offense, and we now have a buyback opportunity on this inflated total.
MORE NFL FREE PICKS
Get a free trial of NFL Sunday Ticket with FanDuel!
Available for new and existing users, bet $5 on the NFL and get a three-week trial of the NFL Sunday Ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV.
Claim Now at
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
Dolphins vs Buccaneers odds
Dolphins vs Buccaneers live odds
Dolphins vs Buccaneers opening odds
- Spread: Miami -1.5 | Tampa Bay +1.5
- Moneyline: Miami -125 | Tampa Bay +107
- Over/Under: Over 34.5 | Under 34.5
Dolphins vs Buccaneers betting trend to know
The Under went 26-7 through the first two weeks of the NFL preseason, and a perfect 4-0 in games involving the Dolphins and Buccaneers. Find more NFL betting trends for Dolphins vs. Buccaneers.
Dolphins vs Buccaneers game info
| Location: | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL |
| Date: | Friday, 8-23-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NFL+ |
Dolphins vs Buccaneers weather
Expect hot and humid conditions with a 30% chance of a rain shower. Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Not intended for use in MA.Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Pages related to this topic
.covers-interlinking-container {
display: flex;
flex-flow: row wrap;
gap: 16px;
padding-bottom: 32px;
}
.covers-CoversWTP-copySection .covers-interlinking-container {
padding-bottom: 9px;
}
.covers-coversOdds-sectionContainer .covers-interlinking-container {
padding-bottom: 0;
}
.covers-interlinking-linkdiv a {
border: 1px solid #FD5000;
border-radius: 4px;
font-size: 12px !important;
color: #15202B !important;
font-weight: 500;
padding: 7px 12px;
display: block;
}
.covers-interlinking-linkdiv a:hover,
.covers-interlinking-linkdiv a:active {
color: #fff !important;
background-color: #E14700;
border-color: #E14700;
transition: .2s !important;
}
p + h2.covers-interlinking-h2 {
margin-top: 0 !important;
}
When Will Sports Betting Be Legal In Florida
Georgia Sports Betting
Best Football Betting Sites
Best Football Betting Promo Codes
Best Betting Sites for NFL Props
Best NFL Parlay Betting Sites
Super Bowl Betting Sites
Best Football Betting Apps
Best Florida Online Casinos
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.
Read More
